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The latest headline figure released by Public Health Wales (PHW) shows 77 new cases of coronavirus in Caerphilly County Borough.
The headline figure, which was released on Friday, November 27, shows how many new coronavirus cases PHW was made aware of on Thursday, November 26.
The latest figures show 1,105 new confirmed cases across Wales – with 21 deaths.
However, many of these new cases were actually tested for in previous days. PHW has recently been publishing a disclaimer alongside its figures in recent weeks, which says there’s been a lag in them receiving the data.
The headline figure is the number of new cases PHW has been made aware of – not the number of cases recorded on a particular day.
Between November 18 and November 24, 3,130 tests were carried out in Caerphilly County Borough. Of these tests, 15.6% came back positive.
Number of cases recorded in Caerphilly County Borough in recent weeks
September 7-13 – 216 new cases (from 6,317 tests – 3.4% positive)
September 14-20 – 122 new cases (from 3,408 tests – 3.6% positive)
September 21-27 – 98 new cases (from 2,400 tests – 4.1% positive)
September 28 – October 4 – 120 new cases (from 2,326 tests – 5.2% positive)
October 5-11 – 233 new cases (from 2,413 tests – 9.7% positive)
October 12-18 – 313 new cases (from 2,235 tests – 14% positive)
October 19-25 – 502 new cases (from 2,840 tests – 17.7% positive)
October 26 – November 1 – 631 new cases (from 2,834 tests – 22.3% positive)
November 2-8 – 504 new cases (2,551 tests – 19.8% positive)
November 9-15 – 454 new cases (2,426 tests – 18.7% positive)
November 16-22 – 492 new cases (3,274 tests – 15% positive)
How does the percentage of positive tests compare with other parts of Wales?
The percentage of positive test results in each local authority area, based on a seven-day rolling average from November 18 to November 24, are as follows:
Torfaen – 20.5% (325 positive cases out of 1,582 tests)
Neath Port Talbot – 19.1% (422 positive cases out of 2,214 tests)
Swansea – 16.7% (616 positive cases out of 3,680 tests)
Blaenau Gwent – 15.8% (264 positive cases out of 1,667 tests)
CAERPHILLY – 15.6% (487 positive cases out of 3,130 tests)
Newport – 14.9% (462 positive cases out of 3,111 tests)
Rhondda Cynon Taf – 13.8% (609 positive cases out of 4,410 tests)
Bridgend – 13.4% (299 positive cases out of 2,239 tests)
Ceredigion – 13% (114 positive cases out of 877 tests)
Cardiff – 12.4% (675 positive cases out of 5,460 tests)
Merthyr Tydfil – 12.4% (157 positive cases out of 1,271 tests)
Carmarthenshire – 11.9% (392 positive cases out of 3,293 tests)
Monmouthshire – 11.2% (148 positive cases out of 1,319 tests)
Vale of Glamorgan – 10.1% (188 positive cases out of 1,867 tests)
Wrexham – 9% (206 positive cases out of 2,287 tests)
Flintshire – 9% (170 positive cases out of 1,896 tests)
Pembrokeshire – 8.3% (120 positive cases out of 1,454 tests)
Powys – 6.3% (101 positive cases out of 1,609 tests)
Denbighshire – 5.1% (79 positive cases out of 1,549 tests)
Anglesey – 4% (28 positive cases out of 697 tests)
Gwynedd – 2.6% (30 positive cases out of 1,172 tests)
Conwy – 1.7% (23 positive cases out of 1,334 tests)
How does the incidence rate compare with other areas in Wales?
The number of cases per 100,000 people in each local authority area, based on a seven-day rolling average from November 18 to November 24, are as follows:
Blaenau Gwent – 377.9
Torfaen – 345.9
Newport – 298.7
Neath Port Talbot – 294.5
CAERPHILLY – 268.9
Merthyr Tydfil – 260.3
Rhondda Cynon Taf – 252.4
Swansea – 249.4
Carmarthenshire – 207.7
Bridgend – 203.3
Cardiff – 184
Ceredigion – 156.8
Monmouthshire – 156.5
Wrexham – 151.5
Vale of Glamorgan – 140.7
Flintshire – 108.9
Pembrokeshire – 95.4
Denbighshire – 82.6
Powys – 76.3
Anglesey – 40
Gwynedd – 24.1
Conwy – 19.6
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What does ‘headline figure’ mean?
In recent months, Caerphilly Observer and other media have been reporting the headline figures from Public Health Wales.
For example, the headline figure released on Friday, November 26 saw 77 new positive tests reported.
This figure however is not entirely as it seems at first glance. It is the number of new cases PHW were aware of as of November 26 – the day before.
Even then, this figure is still not what you think it ought to be as it includes positive tests that may have occurred a few days prior, but that PHW were only made aware of on November 26.
The headline figure for Caerphilly County Borough for November 26 (which was published on November 27) is 77 new cases.
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