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The latest headline figure released by Public Health Wales (PHW) shows 76 new cases of coronavirus in Caerphilly County Borough.
The headline figure, which was released on Monday, October 26, shows how many new coronavirus cases PHW was made aware of on Sunday, October 25.
The latest figures show 1,158 new confirmed cases across Wales – with six deaths.
However, many of these new cases were actually tested for last week. PHW has recently been publishing a disclaimer alongside its figures in recent days, which says there’s been a lag in them receiving the data.
The headline figure is the number of new cases PHW has been made aware of – not the number of cases recorded on a particular day.
Caerphilly was the first council area in Wales to be placed under a local lockdown by Welsh Government on September 8. Since then, 14 more local authority areas, one town and one city have been placed under local lockdown restrictions.
As of Friday, October 23, all of Wales is under a ‘firebreak’ lockdown.
Between October 17 and October 23, 2,393 tests were carried out in Caerphilly County Borough. Of these tests, 16.4% came back positive.
Number of cases recorded in Caerphilly County Borough each week since the local lockdown was introduced
September 7-13 – 216 new cases (from 6,318 tests – 3.4% positive)
September 14-20 – 122 new cases (from 3,419 tests – 3.6% positive)
September 21-27 – 98 new cases (from 2,416 tests – 4.1% positive)
September 28 – October 4 – 120 new cases (from 2,358 tests – 5.1% positive)
October 5-11 – 229 new cases (from 2,467 tests – 9.3% positive)
October 12-18 – 313 new cases (from 2,275 tests – 13.8% positive)
How does the percentage of positive tests compare with other parts of Wales?
The percentage of positive test results in each local authority area, based on a seven-day rolling average from October 17 to October 23, are as follows:
Rhondda Cynon Taf – 20.4% (823 positive cases out of 4,026 tests)
Merthyr Tydfil – 20.2% (229 positive cases out of 1,131 tests)
Cardiff – 19.3% (1,120 positive cases out of 5,791 tests)
Swansea – 18.7% (621 positive cases out of 3,325 tests)
Blaenau Gwent – 17.7% (225 positive cases out of 1,270 tests)
Neath Port Talbot – 17.6% (403 positive cases out of 2,286 tests)
Bridgend – 16.5% (325 positive cases out of 1,965 tests)
CAERPHILLY – 16.4% (393 positive cases out of 2,393 tests)
Torfaen – 14.1% (150 positive cases out of 1,066 tests)
Wrexham – 13.8% (271 positive cases out of 1,968 tests)
Flintshire – 11.8% (204 positive cases out of 1,730 tests)
Newport – 11.3% (199 positive cases out of 1,754 tests)
Carmarthenshire – 9.1% (193 positive cases out of 2,131 tests)
Conwy – 8.9% (114 positive cases out of 1,281 tests)
Gwynedd – 8% (95 positive cases out of 1,190 tests)
Vale of Glamorgan – 7.3% (92 positive cases out of 1,256 tests)
Anglesey – 7.3% (88 positive cases out of 1,201 tests)
Denbighshire – 7.3% (88 positive cases out of 1,211 tests)
Ceridigion – 6.8% (35 positive cases out of 511 tests)
Powys – 5.7% (65 positive cases out of 1,148 tests)
Pembrokeshire – 4.2% (42 positive cases out of 1,011 tests)
How does the incidence rate compare with other areas in local lockdown?
The number of cases per 100,000 people in each local authority area currently in lockdown, based on a seven-day rolling average from October 17 to October 23, are as follows:
Merthyr Tydfil – 379.6
Rhondda Cynon Taf – 341.1
Blaenau Gwent – 322.1
Cardiff – 305.3
Neath Port Talbot – 281.2
Swansea – 251.4
Bridgend – 221
CAERPHILLY – 217
Wrexham – 199.3
Torfaen – 159.6
Flintshire – 130.7
Newport – 128.7
Anglesey – 125.6
Carmarthenshire – 102.2
Conwy – 97.3
Denbighshire – 92
Gwynedd – 76.3
Vale of Glamorgan – 69.9
Powys – 49.1
Ceridigion – 48.1
Pembrokeshire – 33.4
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What does ‘headline figure’ mean?
In recent weeks, Caerphilly Observer and other media have been reporting the headline figures from Public Health Wales.
For example, the headline figure released on Monday, October 26 saw 76 new positive tests reported.
This figure however is not entirely as it seems at first glance. It is the number of new cases PHW were aware of as of October 25 – the day before.
Even then, this figure is still not what you think it ought to be as it includes positive tests that may have occurred a few days prior, but that PHW were only made aware of on October 25.
The headline figure for Caerphilly County Borough for October 25 (which was published on October 26) is 76 new cases.
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